Wednesday, October 24, 2012

TIME MAGAZINE OHIO POLL EQUALS CBS NEWS-QUINNIPIAC FINDING............

The latest Time Magazine Poll on the Presidential preference presently in the pivotal, quintessential, swing State of Ohio; finds that Monday's five point margin in President Obama's favor over Governor Romney, 50%; to 45%; is the same margin Time released today, with Obama 49%; leading Romney, 44%;.  With Obama continuing to lead in the swing States of Ohio, Iowa, and Wisconsin, he has a potential midwestern firewall developing in the Electoral College.  Charlie Cook points out in his latest analysis as published in the National Journal that following the third and final Presidential Debate two nights ago, that President Obama has an easier path to 270 Electoral Votes and victory in the General Election than Governor Romney does.  As has NBC News Political Director Chuck Todd, Cook has put North Carolina as leaning toward Romney,
 and adds Virginia to Romney's column adding 28 Electoral Votes to the 191 he is all but sure to win, giving Romney a prospective 219 Electoral Votes, 51 short of the necessary number.  He also concurs with Todd, and places Nevada as leaning toward Obama, and adding its 6 Electoral Votes to the strong and leaning Obama present total of 237 Electoral Votes, giving him a prospective 243 Electoral Votes, 27 short of the necessary number.  Therefore, Cook posits that Obama by winning Ohio and Wisconsin with their combined 28 Electoral Votes would then be the victor, with 271 Votes, one more than required; even if Mitt Romney were to win Iowa, Florida, Colorado, and New Hampshire.  Thus, without winning Ohio, Romney most likely cannot win the White House, anymore than other Republican nominees have been able to without the Buckeye.  With Obama leading by five percent in Ohio, with only thirteen days until Election Day and exit polls showing the Early Vote in Ohio, splitting Obama-Biden having won 60%;  Romney-Ryan having won 30%; the Republican nominees will be hard pressed to win the Buckeye State and the Presidency on November 6th............tdp

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