Wednesday, October 3, 2012
A LIVELY ROMNEY - OBAMA PRESIDENTIAL DEBATE NUMBER ONE............
Governor Mitt Romney faced off in a very feisty ninety minute presentation of debate against President Barack Obama tonight in Denver, taking his case about the record of the incumbent on domestic issues of the Economy, Healthcare, Education, Energy, among others, in contrast to a laid back President Obama, who seemed unwilling to forcibly challenge Governor Romney, as he represented his record and responded to Romney's proposals. Romney came prepared to reiterate two and three times over his positions on creating Jobs, Repealing and Replacing National Health Care, Tax Cuts, and Education. Romney drove the Debate and the Obama opened strong and then seemed to struggle in responding to the questions and in clearly stating his positions for much of tonight's Debate. The President improved in his responses seventy minutes into the Debate, but then again declined in effectiveness with a scattered closing statement. Romney closed strong, and focused, but during the ninety minutes he also moderated his positions on Healthcare and claimed he has no plans for a Tax Cut for upper income Americans, and vowed he will restore the $716 billion cut he argued President Obama has made to Medicare. The pundits and political analysts are largely declaring Romney the winner of this Debate, as is the Romney-Ryan campaign. The Obama-Biden campaign is neither claiming victory or conceding defeat. The CBS News instant poll of 523 Undecided Voters who watched the Presidential Debate tonight finds 46% feel Romney won; 22% feel Obama won; 32% feel it was a Tie. The campaign proceeds with two more Presidential Debates on October 16th and 22nd, a Vice Presidential Debate on October 11th, and 33 days to go until General Election Day. Governor Romney's Debate performance in Denver tonight, puts him right back in the race for the White House and means President Obama will have to be more more aggressive in arguing the case for his re-election and disputing Romney's candidacy, in the two subsequent Debates and the closing days of Campaign 2012............Fr. Troy
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4 comments:
Sometimes an incumbent doesnt do so well in the first debate of their series. In 1984 Walt Mondale made Reagan look confused and dazed at their first debate, only to have Reagan deliver his zinger at the second debate "I will not exploit for political gain the youth and inexperience of my opponent." Reagan of course won reelection. In the 1978 Calif gubernatorial debates, challenger Evelle Younger won the first debate, but Jerry Brown came back strong at the second and won reelection.
HOW VERY TRUE THAT IS. ONE OF THE DIFFERENCES THIS TIME WAS THAT DESPITE THE REALITY OF THE CHALLENGER WINNING THE FIRST DEBATE MOST OFTEN, WHICH ALSO HAPPENED TO G.W. BUSH WITH KERRY IN 2004, THE POLLS INDICATED BY NEARLY 2-1, THAT THE PUBLIC "EXPECTED" OBAMA TO WIN THIS DEBATE. THE PRESIDENT WILL SURELY DEBATE MORE ASSERTIVELY IN THE 2ND AND 3RD FACE-OFFS, IF HE FOLLOWS THE REAGAN-MONDALE, BROWN-YOUNGER EXAMPLES YOU CITED............tdp
As a Community Planner, Obama is a whiz with numbers. He will target states and communities where he knows he will get the numbers, and win reelection that way. It is what he surgically did against Hillary Clinton. The post-debate poll stats of the undecided voters are very telling, and actually not very helpful for Romney, because those who say they were swayed by neither, and those who said they were more likely to vote for Obama, combine for a greater total (54%) than those who were swayed by Romney. Romney has to capture almost a hundred percent of the undecided in order to win in November. Also, when you listen to the concerns of the undecided people as they are interviewed, in this election and the last one they seem to be more diligent and conscientious voters, rather than ambivalent voters. After this first debate and then after all the debates, it seems we will REALLY have to keep our eyes on how the candidates do in Ohio, Florida and Virginia.
OBAMA'S YEARS OF BACKGROUND AND EXPERIENCE WITH NUMBERS JOINED WITH A THOROUGHLY RESOURCED GOTV IN THE SWING STATE AREAS OFFSETS ONE DEBATE DECIDING THE ELECTION OUTCOME, UNTIL SUCH TIME AS THE CREDIBLE POLLS IN THOSE SAME SWING STATES VERIFY OTHERWISE. FLORIDA AND VIRGINIA ARE MORE LIKELY TO BE SWAYED IN THIS INSTANCE, ALTHOUGH AGAIN UNLESS CANDIDATES THEMSELVES DISTANCE THEMSELVES FROM THE TOP OF THE TICKET, IT WILL BE UP TO THE VOTERS TO ILLUSTRATE THE FURTHER AFFECT ANY SHIFT IN PRESIDENTIAL SUPPORT CAUSES, OTHER CANDIDACIES. GOING AGAINST THE CUSTOMARY TIDE, LAST NIGHT MAY ALSO ACTUALLY INCREASE THE VIEWERSHIP OF THE SECOND DEBATE BETWEEN ROMNEY AND OBAMA ON OCTOBER 16TH............tdp
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